Value in Health
○ Elsevier BV
Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match Value in Health's content profile, based on 11 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Brodsky, S.; Matlin, O.
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Improving primary care is a long-standing strategy to constrain health care spending. Yet, evaluations of primary care models focused on payment reform have shown minimal effects on total cost of care. We report the results from a large-scale, real-world evaluation of an advanced primary care model that restructures access through same-day and next-day appointments, on-demand video visits, asynchronous clinician messaging, and extended hours. Using a stacked-cohort difference-in-differences design with entropy balancing and inverse probability of censoring weighting, we analyzed multi-payer claims covering April 2022 through March 2025. Advanced primary care use was associated with an 8.6% reduction in total cost of care (-$729 per patient per year; P = 0.004), driven by lower specialist cost (-$939/year; P < 0.001) and, to a lesser degree, by reductions in inpatient (-$134/year; P < 0.001), urgent care (-$70/year; P < 0.001), and emergency department cost (-$16/year; P = 0.02), partially offset by higher primary care cost (+$350/year; P < 0.001). The specialist reduction was concentrated in knowledge-based consultative encounters (-$663/year; P < 0.001), while procedural specialist cost was largely unchanged (-$276/year; P = 0.09). Cost differences emerged in the first post-index month. These findings suggest that advanced primary care may reduce total health care spending, with observed savings driven primarily by lower spending on consultative specialty care.
Reza, L.; Arbai, Z.; Ward, H.; Payne, L.; Kinross, J.; Patel, V.
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Background Virtual hospital (VH) pathways support early discharge through remote monitoring, but limited evidence has hindered implementation in colorectal surgery. This study aimed to define patient- and carer-relevant outcomes and experiences of VH following colorectal surgery. Methodology A patient and public involvement and engagement (PPIE) consultation was conducted with 8 participants (7 patients, 1 carer; 4 women, 4 men) who had experienced VH following bowel resection at a high-volume robotic unit. Purposive sampling ensured that 50% of participants had experienced readmission. The 90-minute session was delivered via Microsoft Teams. Data were analysed using reflexive thematic analysis. Results Seven themes were identified: readmission, remote monitoring, carer burden, recovery, equity, readiness for discharge, and information delivery. Patients supported early discharge when remote monitoring enabled timely detection of complications and readmission pathways were efficient. Readmission was not perceived as failure but as appropriate escalation. Dissatisfaction with readmission was related to delays in emergency care. Remote monitoring provided psychological safety, with patients feeling held at home. Carers assumed substantial, often unrecognised, quasi-clinical roles. Recovery was defined by return to function rather than length of stay. Equity concerns were evident, with VH favouring those with adequate support at home, digital literacy, and language proficiency. Discharge readiness was both clinical and psychological. Information delivery at discharge was often poorly retained and requires reinforcement preoperatively at every encounter with patients and carers. Conclusions VH pathways are acceptable and valued. Readmission is a marker of system responsiveness rather than failure of early discharge on VH. Psychological preparedness, carer support, and equitable access are critical to successful and scalable implementation of early discharge using a virtual hospital.
Hamdan, M.; Harati, A.; Al-Bakheet, A.; Fuetterer, I.; Alshaer, I.
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Objective: To evaluate decision concordance between commercially available multimodal large language models (LLMs), resident doctors, and senior-surgeon ground truth for surgical indication and spinal level in degenerative lumbar spine disease. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 147 consecutive patients. Each case included clinical documentation and MRI presented as two composite PNG images. Two resident doctors and three multimodal LLMs (GPT 5.5, Claude Sonnet 4.6, Gemini 3.1 Pro) independently assessed operative versus conservative management and, if operative, the surgical level. Analyses used Cochran's Q, McNemar tests with Holm correction, and Bayesian methods. Results: LLMs achieved higher therapy-decision accuracy (66.0%-68.0%; 97-100/147) than residents (54.4%; 80/147) but over-recommended surgery. Conditional level accuracy when surgery was correctly indicated was 71.4% (20/28) for residents versus 33.3%-41.1% for LLMs. Conclusion: Off-the-shelf multimodal LLMs approximate human performance for binary surgical indication but remain inferior for precise level localization. These results establish a practice-relevant baseline of spatial reasoning limitations for tools already used by patients and junior doctors.
Leonhardt, C.; Birrer, D.; Stauffer, M. F.; Toti, J. M. A.; Gallagher, I. J.; Skipworth, R. J. E.; Laird, B.; Kuemmerli, C.
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Importance Non-inferiority trials are becoming increasingly popular in abdominal surgery. The non- inferiority margin is critical in the interpretation and conclusion of these trials. Objective This systematic review aims to assess the methodological and reporting quality of non- inferiority randomized controlled trials in abdominal surgery. Evidence Review Non-inferiority trials were systematically identified by searching Ovid Medline, Embase and the CENTRAL databases from 2006 until December 2025. Randomized controlled trials in adult patients with any type of abdominal surgical intervention in at least one trial arm and a sample size greater than or equal to 100 were eligible for inclusion. The primary outcome was the definition of the non- inferiority margin. Secondary outcomes were the reporting of the non-inferiority margin, the robustness of its estimation, the uncertainty of the point estimate and the adequacy of conclusions. Findings A total of 11 045 trials were identified, of which 101 were eligible, enrolling 44 370 patients. Most trials provided a rationale for the non-inferiority design, while six (5.9%) trials did not. Previous literature was commonly used (n=56; 55.4%), but the non-inferiority margin was most often based on a clinical fixed margin or on historical comparison of the treatment and the active comparator. Based on the margin, investigators tolerated substantially worse outcomes of the treatment compared to the comparator. Conclusions were appropriate based on the confidence interval and the predefined non- inferiority margin in 88 (87.1%) of trials. The clinical judgement of the conclusion was overall adequate. Confidence interval estimations were reported in 16 (15.8%) of trials. Simulation studies were limited by the reporting quality. Conclusions and Relevance Clinical fixed margins are commonly used in abdominal surgery non-inferiority randomized controlled trials, however, substantial shortcomings in reporting limit the interpretability and reproduction of study findings. Based on the findings of this study, guidance on surgical- specific non-inferiority margin definitions is needed.
Bai, L.; Liu, Y.; Tongye, H.
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Background Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) are widely prescribed for type 2 diabetes and obesity, yet their neuropsychiatric safety profile remains incompletely characterized. We aimed to systematically evaluate neuro-adverse event (AE) signals for six GLP-1RAs and to validate key findings using population-based data. Methods We conducted disproportionality analysis of FAERS data for semaglutide, liraglutide, dulaglutide, tirzepatide, exenatide, and lixisenatide. RORs were calculated for 93 predefined neuro-AE MedDRA PTs across 11 neurological categories. External validation used NHANES 2013-2018 (n=17,057; 70 GLP-1RA users) with survey-weighted regression. Results We identified 41 significant neuro-AE signals. Semaglutide showed the strongest neuromuscular signal, muscle atrophy (ROR 3.94; 95%CI 3.42-4.54), corroborated by tirzepatide (ROR 2.35; 95%CI 2.04-2.71). Exenatide generated the highest psychiatric signal: nervousness (ROR 4.03; 95%CI 3.70-4.40). NHANES confirmed higher depression odds (OR 2.05; 95%CI 1.32-3.19; P=0.001) and reduced sleep hours (beta -0.35; P=0.033). Conclusions GLP-1RAs carry multiple neuropsychiatric safety signals, including muscle atrophy as a potential class effect and depression risk corroborated by population-level data. These findings support heightened clinical monitoring.
Scherer, L. D.; Matlock, D. D.; Cronin, J.; Gritz, M.
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Multi-Cancer Detection (MCD) tests can detect more than 50 different types of cancer using a blood test. Recently passed law in the U.S. guarantees that Medicare will pay for these tests when they are FDA approved and show evidence for clinical benefit. This manuscript provides estimates of the cost of MCD tests to Medicare under different assumptions of cost per test, eligibility, and screening uptake in the eligible population. This manuscript additionally estimates the cost of follow-up testing resulting from false positive results, which are considered avoidable costs caused by the screening test.
Dang, Z.; Ren, G.; Wang, Z.; Su, W.; Ma, Y.; Li, P.; Ji, D.; Li, L.; Gao, J.
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Background: Under the DRG/DIP payment reform, the cost structure and its driving factors for laparoscopic cholecystectomy (LC) in resource-limited plateau regions remain unclear. Methods: Based on a single-center cohort of 605 plateau LC patients from May 2020 to October 2025, natural log transformation was applied to total hospitalization costs. Pearson/Spearman correlation, multivariate linear regression (traditional clinical model vs system-driven model with year dummies), and quantile regression were used. Results: Mean hospitalization cost 8097.49+/-936.85 CNY, CV=11.6%, Gini=0.062, demonstrating high homogenization. Traditional six-variable clinical model yielded R^2=0.008 (F=0.78, P=0.587), no significant predictors. The system-driven model achieved R^2=0.143 (F=3.42, P=0.001), with year dummies as dominant predictors. The study proposes the SAO (System-Allocation-Outcome) paradigm to replace the traditional SPO framework.
Buianova, A. A.; Cheranev, V. V.; Kuznetsov, M. I.; Repinskaia, Z. A.; Belova, V. A.
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Introduction: The application of pharmacogenomics (PGx) in pediatrics is limited by the lack of age-oriented interpretation approaches, as algorithms developed for adults do not account for ontogenetic changes in the activity of drug-metabolizing enzymes and transport proteins. The aim of this study was to evaluate the clinical applicability of pharmacogenomic data in Russian children, assess the concordance between genotype-based recommendations and the ontogenetic status of drug-metabolizing enzymes, and develop recommendations for the generation of age-oriented PGx reports. Methods: We analyzed whole-exome sequencing (WES) data from 524 pediatric patients and 635 newborns, filtering pharmacogenomic annotations according to PharmGKB/ClinPGx evidence levels (1A-2B) and the presence of the 'Pediatrics' tag. The concordance between genotype-based recommendations and the ontogenetic status of drug-metabolizing enzymes was assessed in newborns. In a pediatric subgroup of 100 patients, a retrospective analysis of medical records was performed to evaluate the structure of pharmacotherapy and the frequency of adverse drug reactions (ADRs). A 'PGx-ADR-cost' database was created, and the relative population burden index was calculated for 27 gene-variant-drug-ADR associations. Results: Clinically relevant annotations (requiring drug avoidance or dose modification) accounted for only 5% of all initial pharmacogenomic annotations in both cohorts; 67.6% (pediatric cohort) and 67.2% (neonatal cohort) of these were related to alleles with altered function. Concordance between genotype-based recommendations and the ontogenetic status of drug-metabolizing enzymes in newborns was observed in only 5 of 14 (35.71%) gene-drug pairs. ADRs were identified in 21% of the 100 pediatric patients; however, only two cases could be explained by high-evidence PharmGKB/ClinPGx annotations. Ranking by relative population burden identified UGT1A1*28-irinotecan-induced neutropenia and HLA-A*31:01-carbamazepine-induced severe cutaneous reactions as priority associations. Conclusions: Age represents a critical factor in the interpretation of pharmacogenomic data in children, as current approaches to PGx reporting do not adequately incorporate the ontogenetic context. We propose a pediatric PGx interpretation model that includes mandatory reporting of patient age, ontogenetic adjustment, evidence-level stratification, and multidisciplinary clinical assessment. Prospective validation is required to confirm the clinical utility of the proposed approach.
Green, J. L.; Davies, H.; Russell, D. A.
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Background: The relative merits of infrainguinal bypass and primary major lower limb amputation (MLLA) for chronic limb-threatening ischaemia (CLTI) remain uncertain, and the baseline profiles of patients selected for each strategy are poorly described. Methods: A systematic review and meta-analysis were undertaken in accordance with PRISMA 2020 and prospectively registered (PROSPERO: CRD42022356094). MEDLINE, Embase, CENTRAL, and CINAHL were searched from inception to March 2025. Prospective studies of adults with CLTI undergoing primary infrainguinal bypass or primary MLLA were eligible. Mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and subsequent amputation outcomes were synthesised using random-effects meta-analysis of proportions. Baseline comorbidity profiles were also extracted. Results: Twenty-seven studies involving 6,576 patients were included: 5,779 underwent infrainguinal bypass and 797 underwent MLLA. After bypass, pooled mortality was 3.7% at 30 days (95% CI 2.8%-4.9%, I2 = 49.4%), 18.5% at 1 year (95% CI 15.6%-21.9%, I2 = 62.3%), and 54.3% at 5 years (95% CI 50.5%-58.0%, I2 = 0%). After MLLA, pooled mortality was 9.2% at 30 days (95% CI 4.1%-19.3%, I2 = 73.5%), 28.5% at 1 year (95% CI 13.3%-51.0, I2 = 70.8%), and 39.9% at 2 years (95% CI 0.3%-99.3, I2 = 90.5%), although longer-term estimates were limited by sparse data and marked heterogeneity. Thirty-day MACE was 6.5% (95% CI 4.3%-9.7, I2 = 63.5%) after bypass and 2.8% after MLLA (95% CI 0.1%-37.6%, I2 = 0%). Early subsequent major amputation after bypass occurred in 3.9% of patients (95% CI 2.0%-7.7%, I2 = 91.2%), rising to 16.2% at 1 year (95% CI 12.6%-20.5%, I2 = 82.0%) and 33.3% at 3 years (95% CI 20.1%-49.8%, I2 = 0%). Early re-amputation after MLLA occurred in 10.9% of patients (95% CI 4.5%-24.4%, I2 = 40.3%). Baseline comorbidity burden was high in both groups, with substantial heterogeneity across studies. Conclusions: CLTI carries a poor prognosis regardless of treatment strategy. Infrainguinal bypass is associated with lower early mortality and better early limb preservation than primary MLLA, but long-term survival remains poor and later limb failure is common. Primary MLLA is not a low-risk alternative. Better contemporary comparative evidence utilising modern causal inference approaches is needed to support individualised decision-making.
Raisa, A.; Santaliz-Moreno, I.; Ayala, A.; Hamilton, J. G.; McQueen, A.; Souroullas, G. P.; Maki, J.; Waters, E. A.
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Background: Epigenetics, the study of reversible changes in gene expression without altering the underlying DNA sequence, is increasingly applied in medical, commercial, and policy contexts. Yet, little is known about how this emerging science is communicated to the public. The purpose of this study was to examine communication strategies, sources, and modalities in epigenetic-related videos on YouTube- the most accessed platform for informal science education. Methods: We conducted a mixed-methods content analysis of 294 YouTube videos on epigenetics by conducting a keyword-based search on October 17, 2023. Video transcripts and meta-data were coded using a codebook developed both deductively and inductively. Qualitative analysis examined how communication strategies were used within videos and identified emergent themes (RQ1). Quantitative analyses examined the frequency of video and channel characteristics (RQ2), and presentation modalities (RQ3). Results: Findings reveal poor alignment with science communication best practices (RQ1): over 92% of videos failed to acknowledge scientific uncertainty, the comprehensibility level exceeded the recommended 8th-grade level (e.g., average readability grade 10.7), and professional research organizations were notably absent. Narrators were mostly male (56.7%) and white-presenting (73.7%) (RQ2). The majority of the videos used multi-modal strategies (e.g., visual texts mixed with animation and voice-over narration) to communicate epigenetic information (RQ3). Conclusion: Findings highlight the need for professional research organizations to be more proactive in public epigenetic communication efforts. Increasing narrator demographic diversity could broaden audience reach. Evidence-based communication tools are needed for health or science communicators discussing epigenetics on social media.
Zhang, Z.; Qadir, M. I.; Ramchand, R.; Belwadi, M.; Ball, R. P.; Konstantinopoulos, K.; Abbey, E. M.; Ernsberger, K. T.; Guzman, M. J.; Hendren, S.; Holcomb, B. K.; Robb, B. W.; Stankowski, T.; Waters, J. A.; Stefanidis, D.; Bilimoria, K. Y.; Mohanty, S.; Kolbinger, F. R.
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Surgical video interpretation is a promising medical artificial intelligence application. However, no existing video annotation method preserves the spatiotemporal complexity of surgeon reasoning. Here we show that verbal reasoning and visual attention can be converted into structured, machine-actionable records of intraoperative behaviours. Our method decomposes transcribed verbal commentary into video-anchored semantic feedback chunks, which are classified via a large language model, with spatial grounding to surgical scenes via eyegaze or cursor tracking. We demonstrate method validity and scalability on structured and unstructured annotation tasks. For quality feedback on full-length colorectal procedures, the method reached near-human fidelity for chunking (mean cosine similarity: 0.95, SD: 0.01) and semantic classification across observations (mean Cohen's kappa: 0.71, SD: 0.07) and evaluative triggers (mean Cohen's kappa: 0.67, SD: 0.14), with excellent usability ratings. For structured critical view of safety assessment in laparoscopic cholecystectomy, implicit annotation yielded excellent agreement with explicit reviewer ratings (Cohen's kappa: 0.83, 0.49 and 0.81 across three criteria). We anticipate this method will advance surgical data science by enabling scalable construction of meaningfully annotated surgical video datasets.
SHI, J.; Gu, Q.; Pan, J.; Yang, A.; Fan, M.
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To evaluate the cost-utility and 5-year budget impact of first-line olaparib plus abiraterone versus abiraterone alone for metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) in China after the eleventh round of volume-based procurement (VBP). The intention-to-treat (ITT) population was assigned primary decision-analytic weight; the prespecified BRCA1/2-mutated (BRCAm) subgroup was a supporting analysis.
Hendrickx, N.; Mentre, F.; Karlsson, M. O.; Hooker, A. C.; Traschütz, A.; Schüle, R.; PROSPAX Consortium, ; EVIDENCE-RND Consortium, ; Synofzik, M.; Comets, E.
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We propose two new tests to detect drug effects (DE) in trials of one to very few patients followed during two periods (before and after initiation of a treatment). Both methods use longitudinal natural history data to inform the estimation of each patient's DE. The first method uses a non linear mixed effect model (NLMEM) reflecting an expected natural history with a hypothetical drug effect, to estimate the Conditional Distribution of the Drug Effect (CDDE). The second method trains a Pareto Depth Analysis (PDA) algorithm, a machine learning based approach based on outlier detection, that we implement using data simulated under the NLMEM. We evaluated the two tests with a simulation study. We used data from the PROSPAX study in Autosomal Recessive Cerebellar Ataxias (ARCAs, to derive a NLMEM for the Scale for the Assessment and Rating of Ataxia score. The CDDE method provided controlled type I error and, in some scenarios, adequate corrected power, though sensitivity analyses showed vulnerability to misspecification. The PDA method demonstrated lower statistical power except with high score precision. These results highlight different strategies for quantifying treatment effects in ultra rare, patient' specific trials. They can inform methodological design for future ARCA precision therapies.
Perlman, A.; Goldstein, N.; Goldman, M.; Shapiro, M.; Barash, E.; Bar, A.; Raveh, T.; Tordjman, E.; Schussheim, H.; Dormont, F.; Matalon, O.
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Background. Cardiovascular-outcomes trials are lengthy, costly, and associated with substantial uncertainty prior to readout. In-silico trial simulation using real-world data (RWD) has emerged as a potential tool to support earlier decision-making; however, evidence of prospective predictive validity, generated prior to trial result disclosure, remains limited. Methods. We applied a semi-mechanistic machine learning framework integrating real-world patient data with biologically informed drug representations to prospectively simulate the VESALIUS-CV trial evaluating evolocumab versus placebo. The simulation model was trained on a combination of patient-level real-world data and a drug-centric knowledge graph and validated for both patient-level and trial-level retrospective predictive performance. The model was then used to simulate VESALIUS-CV before public disclosure of trial results, using a locked model and prespecified eligibility criteria and primary endpoint aligned with the clinical protocol. A patient-level time-to-event model was used to generate virtual trial arms, from which cumulative incidence curves, hazard ratios, confidence intervals, and p-values for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) were estimated. Results. In retrospective validation, the model demonstrated strong patient-level discrimination, with time-dependent ROC-AUC values ranging from 0.80 to 0.90 across follow-up horizons. For trial-level validation, 22 randomized cardiovascular-outcomes trials were simulated, and hazard ratios for 3-point MACE across 24 between-arm comparisons showed consistent directional agreement and quantitative correlation with published results such that the model accurately predicted trial success, achieving an F1 score of 0.83, with precision of 0.79 and sensitivity of 0.89. In a fully prospective application, the simulation predicted a statistically significant reduction in 3-point MACE with evolocumab versus placebo, estimating a hazard ratio of 0.78 (95% CI, 0.70-0.87) at 54 months. These predictions were consistent with the subsequently reported VESALIUS-CV results, which demonstrated a hazard ratio of 0.75 (95% CI, 0.65-0.86) at 55 months of median follow-up. Conclusions. In a fully prospective setting, a RWD-driven, AI-based simulation accurately predicted the direction, magnitude, and temporal dynamics of treatment effects observed in the VESALIUS-CV trial. These results demonstrate that in-silico trial simulation can anticipate clinical outcomes in the prospective setting, supporting its use as a complementary tool for early decision-making, trial design optimization, and de-risking in cardiovascular drug development.
Okamoto, S.; Yamada, A.; Kobayashi, E.; Liang, J.
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Objective This study evaluated how well subjective life expectancy (SLE) predicts mortality and actual life expectancy (ALE), along with factors associated with inaccurate expectations. Methods Using panel data on approximately 2,000 individuals with up to 28 years of follow-up from a nationally representative sample of older Japanese adults, we examined relationships among SLE, actual mortality, and ALE by survival analysis. We also evaluated health and socioeconomic disparities using concentration indices and investigated factors influencing SLE and ALE discrepancies and focal-point (i.e. rounded or anchored estimates) and do-not-know responses. SLE was measured as a self-reported point estimate, whereas ALE mainly came from official records and family reports. Results SLE was significantly associated with both actual mortality and ALE, even after accounting for demographic and socioeconomic variables. Nonetheless, significant inaccuracies remain: approximately 59% of individuals surpassed their expected lifespan. SLE was positively associated with ALE; however, the association was inelastic. Women and those with higher education levels were more likely to outlive their SLE, whereas those in poorer health were less likely to do so. Higher education correlated with fewer focal point responses to the SLE question. Discussion SLE effectively predicts ALE; however, gaps are non-negligible and differ across gender and socioeconomic groups. Offering more precise data, such as sex- and age-specific remaining life expectancy, can enhance SLE formation and lead to more informed economic choices.
Lau, Y.-S.; Gilbert, R. E.; Parra, G. P.; Sutton, M.
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Abstract Objective To describe variation in hospital costs among children with different combinations of health conditions, special educational needs or disability (SEND) and children social care (CSC) indicators. Study Setting and Design This cross-sectional study used regression analysis to test whether two-way and three-way interactions of cross-public sector service use (health, education and social care) are associated with higher hospital costs in England. Data Sources and Analytic Sample Hospital care costs between April 2022 and March 2023 for the 8.9 million children aged 5-18 years were obtained from linked administrative hospital, education or social care data in the ECHILD database. Children were classified into eight categories based on combinations of indicators of chronic health conditions, SEND or CSC. Principal Findings Over one-third (35.4%) of children had some hospital costs during the year. Average costs were 317GBP for all children and 895GBP for children with non-zero hospital costs. By age 18, few children had no indicator in any sector (35.1% of boys, 43.7% of girls) and indicators in all three sectors were not rare (7.1% of boys, 6.2% of girls). At age 5, children with indicators recorded in all three sectors had the highest hospital costs (2,952GBP for boys and 3,674GBP for girls). At age 18, males and females with indicators in all three sectors accounted for 21% and 23% of hospital costs, respectively. SEND and social care indicators without chronic health conditions were associated with only slightly higher hospital costs. Hospital costs were much higher for children with SEND if they also had a chronic health condition. Hospital costs were only higher for children with social care if they also had both a chronic health condition and SEND. Conclusions. Taking account of additional support from non-health sectors is important for understanding health sector costs. The compounding associations between use of other public sectors on health sector costs indicates scope for targeting of integrated care.
Rentsch, C. T.; Bhaskaran, K.; Pavicic, M.; Warren, H. R.; Matthewman, J.; Barry, E.; Rafi, I.; Hayward, J.; Gerada, C.; Shah, A.; Munroe, P. B.; Silver, M. J.; Pirmohamed, M.
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Pharmacogenomics (PGx) can improve safety and effectiveness of commonly dispensed medicines, but its value at the population level depends on how often clinically actionable PGx phenotypes co-occur with the medicines they affect. We assessed this co-occurrence in a cross-sectional analysis of Our Future Health (OFH), a new UK national biobank, by applying Pharmacogenomics Clinical Annotation Tool (PharmCAT v3.1.1) to imputed genotypes from 738,531 participants across 17 pharmacogenes with established PGx prescribing guidelines. Every participant had at least one actionable PGx phenotype, with a mean of 6.1 (SD 1.3). The number of actionable PGx phenotypes was similar across genetically inferred ancestry groups, although the pharmacogenes contributing to that count differed between groups. Using linked primary care dispensing records, 36.8% (95% CI 36.7-36.9) had been dispensed at least one medicine between April 2018 and June 2025 matched to a gene for which they carried an actionable PGx phenotype. Co-occurrence rose with age, ranging from 43.7% to 58.9% across ancestry groups among those aged [≥]70 years. Participants carried an actionable PGx phenotype for a mean of 13.8 (SD 6.5) of the 33 medicines dispensed in English primary care with PGx prescribing guidance, of which a mean of 0.6 (SD 1.0) had been dispensed. Co-occurrence was concentrated in a few widely dispensed classes, principally proton-pump inhibitors and antidepressants acting through CYP2C19 and statins through SLCO1B1. These findings highlight opportunities to optimise treatment for a large proportion of patients receiving routine medications and identify where pre-emptive PGx testing could have the greatest clinical benefit.
Gerling, M.; Moro, C. F.; Limbecker, C.; Viljamaa, A.; Harrizi, S.; Hamidi, Y.; Hailer, A.-K.; Sterner, J.; Sparrelid, E.; Bozoky, L.; Tidholm Qvist, E.; Baumgartner, R.; Salmonson Schaad, M.; Bozoky, B.; Geyer, N.; Engstrand, J.
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Purpose The Karolinska Liver Metastases (KaroLiver) cohort was established to investigate associations between clinical characteristics and histopathological features in patients treated with curative intent for colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLM). The cohort combines whole-slide digital histopathology images with detailed oncological, surgical, radiological and survival data, enabling comprehensive analyses of treatment trajectories, clinical outcomes and metastatic tumour biology. Participants KaroLiver is a retrospective observational cohort comprising all consecutive patients who received curative-intent, liver-directed treatment for CRLM at Karolinska University Hospital in Stockholm, Sweden. The hospital is the primary regional referral centre for HPB surgery, serving the population of approximately 2.5 million people in the Stockholm-Gotland healthcare region. Patient enrolment is continuously updated in accordance with amended ethical approvals and evolving scientific questions. The cohort currently comprises 811 patients who underwent 1204 liver interventions between February 2012 and January 2022. Detailed clinical, oncological, surgical, pathological, molecular, recurrence and survival data are collected. Findings to date Median overall survival (OS) in the current cohort is 51.0 months (95% CI 46.2-57.1 months), and median recurrence-free survival (RFS) is 10.4 months (95% CI 9.2-11.9 months). The five-year OS rate is 44.9% (95% CI 41.2-48.8%). Studies using the cohort have so far identified a liver injury-derived stromal capsule in a subset of metastases, associated with improved survival. The cohort has also enabled the identification of histopathological markers of tumour biology, sex-based differences in treatment and survival, and associations between post-hepatectomy liver failure and oncological outcomes. Future plans Current research priorities include advanced histology-based prognostic scoring, sex differences in recurrence and retreatment, tumour biology and outcomes in early-onset versus average-onset CRLM, as well as CT- and MRI-based radiomics, all integrated within KaroLiver's histopathological framework. Data sharing is supported, given that regulatory requirements are met. Retrospective accrual and outcome updates will continue for current and future studies, subject to the required approvals.
Lee, K. T.; Egleston, B.; Fetzer, D.; Domchek, S. M.; Fleisher, L.; Wen, K.-Y.; Wagner, L.; Roberts, S.; Howe, S.; Cacioppo, C.; Christiansen, J.; Karpink, K.; Selmani, E.; Mastaglio, E.; Weinberg, M.; Wood, E. M.; Feng, J.; John, S.; Schweickert, K.; Mcleod, B.; Bradbury, A. R.
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Background: Many at-risk patients lack access to genetic services due to a genetic counselor (GC) workforce shortage. Little is known about how digital alternatives impact patients with and without cancer who meet criteria for genetic testing. Methods: eREACH2 is a randomized 4-arm non-inferiority trial where pre-test (visit 1) and/or return of results (visit 2) GC counseling was replaced with a patient-centered digital intervention. Arms include: A (GC/GC), B (GC/digital), C (digital/GC) and D (digital/digital). Primary outcomes were non-inferiority in uptake of genetic services and change in genetic knowledge and general anxiety from baseline to post-disclosure of results (T0-T2). Secondary cognitive and affective outcomes were assessed using non-inferiority ANOVAs and equivalency chi-squared tests in intention-to-treat and per-protocol analyses. Findings: 773 participants were recruited nationwide; 46.6% from rural areas. Mean age was 51 years (range 20-87), 13% male, 12% non-white, 29% had less than a college education, and 33% had a personal history of cancer. 584 (76%) patients completed testing (14% had a positive result, 16% had a VUS). In the primary ITT analyses, we met the non-inferiority for uptake of genetic services and anxiety, but results were inconclusive for knowledge. Secondary outcomes were heterogeneous across arms. Arm C demonstrated consistently favorable effects, while Arms B and D showed less favorable outcomes in select domains (e.g. satisfaction and MICRA). Patients who received positive or VUS results via digital disclosure had significantly higher MICRA scores - indicating greater negative response to testing. Interpretation: In this large, randomized trial of patients with and without cancer, the eREACH intervention was effective for pre-test counseling, but inconclusive for digital disclosure of results. Exploratory analyses suggest that digital delivery could be a reasonable alternative for individuals receiving negative results, while those receiving positive or VUS results may derive some short-term psychosocial benefit from GC disclosure.
Dronova, M.; Moyon, C.; Pyrek, L.; Hicks, K.; Xiao, Z.; Rumi, F.; de Waure, C.; Scholz, S.; Ghaswalla, P.
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Introduction Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is an important cause of respiratory disease in older adults and adults with chronic medical conditions, contributing substantially to the healthcare burden in Italy. The availability of effective RSV vaccines provides an opportunity to reduce RSV-related morbidity, mortality, and healthcare costs in populations at high risk of severe disease. This study evaluates the potential public health impact and cost-effectiveness of vaccination using mRNA-1345 administered as a single dose compared with no vaccination in Italian high-risk adults aged 60-74 years and all adults aged [≥]75 years. Methods A static decision-analytic model was developed to project clinical and economic outcomes over a 5-year time horizon. Economic outcomes were evaluated from the Italian National Health Service (Servizio Sanitario Nazionale, SSN) perspective. Model inputs were informed by the most recent Italian epidemiological, clinical, and economic evidence, supplemented by published international data when necessary. Deterministic, probabilistic, and scenario analyses were conducted to assess the impact of uncertainty in model inputs and assumptions on the study results. Results Vaccination with mRNA-1345 in high-risk adults aged 60-74 years and all adults aged [≥]75 years was projected to avert over 19,800 hospitalizations, 4,000 emergency department visits, 381,000 outpatient visits, 6,000 RSV-attributable deaths, and 212,000 antibiotic prescriptions compared with no vaccination over a 5-year period. The total incremental cost of {euro}1,143 million and the additional 47,477 QALYs gained resulted in an ICER of {euro}24,078, which was below the commonly referenced willingness to-pay range of {euro}33,000-40,000 per QALY gained. Sensitivity analyses confirmed robustness of the analysis results. Conclusions Vaccination with mRNA-1345 is a cost-effective strategy for the prevention of RSV in high-risk adults aged 60-74 years and all adults [≥]75 years in Italy and has the potential to provide substantial public health benefits.